Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 am
Mercury, you point to the following passage:
“The estimated size of the U.S. resource (50,000 to 500,000 quads) suggests a considerable potential impact on future power generation."
I’m in no position to, and never have, disputed those estimates. But that is not what is in question. The question is whether the resource will be developed. That is where my doubts lie. You repeatedly make the bizarre accusation that I am in thrall to some weird, Malthusian conspiracy directed by your boogey-man the “environmental left” whose goal is to destroy civilisation. Your accusation is nonsense and I resent it.
Is that because you resent nonsense, or resent me for making a nonsense of your beliefs? Please, tell me more of your resentment.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 amI’m not going to get into a tit-for-tat about it and will simply ask that you stop it.
Stop what exactly?
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 amI have no affiliation with any such group. I’ve never heard of such a group. I don’t believe such a group exists. If you think it does exist, then please contact them and ask why they have ignored the magma study. Let us know how you go.
Did you not cite the Club of Rome? Did you not insist there are Limits to Growth? Did you not say that all their wildest dreams came true?
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 am
For the record, I have never said that magma energy should be “off the table”.
You do know this is a philosophy forum, that we are talking here about political theory, with regard to magma energy and the prospect of a prosperous and sustainable future, and not merely your opinion?
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 am If energy from magma can contribute to reducing fossil fuel use and bringing down GHG emissions, then, as I have said on several occasions, I am all for it. I have, however, pointed out that, at best, it will likely only be practical on a limited, local scale where shallow magma is easily accessible.
On what basis do you say so?
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 amThere are vast stretches within continents where magma is not accessible because there are no volcanoes and the continental crust is 10 – 70kms thick. Further, I have pointed to risks in relying on volcanoes around the ring of fire – this is the most seismically active area on earth and so would be unreliable for baseload as Sy Borg mentioned – earthquakes, eruptions, tsunamis are a fact of life on the ring of fire. The energy companies and their insurers won’t want their massively expensive infrastructure destroyed.
In this passage you presume to speak for governments, geologists, insurance risk assessors, energy companies, electrical engineers - all without a scrap of evidence. Either you are some renaissance man, genius, and jack of all trades, or have more neck than a herd of giraffes.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 amFurthermore, you say the magma study proves that magma can power the world. But the study never said that. Moreover, it was just a study. It has not proved feasible in practice. There is not, as far as I’ve been able to ascertain, a single example of energy from magma providing baseload power to even a small village. Why do you think that is?
That is a good question, but as you refuse to acknowledge the existence of the Club of Rome you cited earlier, or Limits to Growth thinking, and insist that I stop the nonsense of supposing their existence, or is it criticising their ideas, I'm going to find it very difficult to answer this question. All I can say is that in 1982, Nasa/Sandia Labs showed it was possible, and drilling technology and materials science have come on leaps and bounds since then.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 amOf course, you will again want blame the lack of development of magma energy on the “ environmental left” boogey-man. But do you really believe that? Do you have evidence that they (whoever “they” are) have ever opposed energy from magma? I can’t find any.
As you ask directly, yes, I believe that magma energy fell between the two stools of climate change denial on the right, and limits to growth on the left; both of them putting their political interests ahead of people and the planet.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 amCan you point me to any published material by this group to that effect? You say “they” have ignored the magma study. I don’t think that would be true even if “they” existed. Most people who have concerns about the environment have probably, like me, never heard of the magma study. It’s over 40 years old and I only knew about it from you. If environmentalists knew about the study and believed it could contribute to bringing down GHG emissions then they would have been plugging for it just as they are plugging for other clean, renewable energy sources.
The Limits to Growth
The Club of Rome stimulated considerable public attention with the first report to the club, The Limits to Growth. Published in 1972, its computer simulations suggested that economic growth could not continue indefinitely because of resource depletion. The 1973 oil crisis increased public concern about this problem. The report went on to sell 30 million copies in more than 30 languages, making it the best-selling environmental book in history.
The Club of Rome garnered "serious criticism" in 2016 after promoting the idea of a one-child policy for industrialized countries, in its pamphlet titled "Reinventing Prosperity".
In contrast, John Scales Avery, a member of Nobel Peace Prize (1995) winning group associated with the Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs, supported the basic thesis of The Limits to Growth by stating, "Although the specific predictions of resource availability in [The] Limits to Growth lacked accuracy, its basic thesis – that unlimited economic growth on a finite planet is impossible – was indisputably correct."
I cannot provide evidence of the negative; only that the Club of Rome you cited earlier persist in Limits to Growth thinking that should have been refuted by Nasa/Sandia's 1982 demonstration of magma energy. Magma Energy is not finite in any practical sense, though neither is it infinite in an absolute sense. It's merely inconceivably massive; all the energy we could ever use and more. Applied intelligently, it can balance human and environmental welfare, very much in our favour, providing for prosperity into the indefinite future.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 amI don’t know why, but you consistently refuse to explain why, if magma energy is the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow, it is not being exploited by the energy companies. I actually believe in capitalism – if there is an opportunity for profit from supplying magma energy, the free market will ensure the resource is developed.
When you say you believe in capitalism, is it that you believe capitalism exists? I ask because of the whole Club of Rome thing; where you cite them one minute, deny they exist the next, defend limits to growth, and then deny you said any such thing. For the record, I too think there is a thing called capitalism.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 am
Why isn’t magma energy being developed? The energy companies either don’t know about the magma study (unlikely), or they do know about it and have not pursued it. If the latter is the case, then I suspect there are four main reasons behind the unwillingness to pursue it. The first is that they are heavily invested in keeping fossil fuels flowing because they make so much money from them. Secondly, they don’t want competition from other energy sources that would detract from their large capital investment in fossil fuels. Thirdly, the capital investment in magma energy, if it proved feasible on the scale you imagine, would be immense. Fourthly, it is possible that the energy companies do not, for geophysical reasons, see magma energy as a viable resource. I suspect that all four of these reasons may be at play.
At last, you answered your own question. I assume you find your own answers satisfactory, so I'll not dispute them. It's not the answer I'd give, but clearly you don't think my study of these issues is worth a brass dime. You don't think Nasa/Sandia Labs opinions are more worthy than yours.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 8th, 2024, 6:28 amIt will not be some imaginary leftist conspiracy that stops magma energy. The environmental left will not be the ones with the capital needed to develop magma energy. And they would be powerless to stop energy companies investing in it if those companies thought there was money to be made from it. Moreover, governments would encourage those companies to so invest so that the profits could be taxed. If you believe that magma energy can save the world, and if you care about getting it pursued, you need to be getting the energy companies interested in it. They are the only ones who will be able to develop it. But, at the end of the day, those companies may decide not to develop it. I have provided a number of reasons why that might be the case.
Your logic is irrefutable! Now on to your second post while three of mine still languish, invisible in the limbo of moderator approval. After I asked you to wait for my response, and you said you would, you had to have another go. How utterly charming! You really are a pip!