Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 4th, 2024, 10:30 pm
LuckyR wrote: ↑February 4th, 2024, 2:40 pm
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 4th, 2024, 8:51 am
Homelessness is awful. It happens for all sorts of reasons but it's mainly about having a low, or no, income. Most folks won't sleep rough if they've got money for a room. It's sad to see anyone living on the street but, for some reason, I feel especially sad when I see aging women in my country sleeping rough. How can this happen in a wealthy country!? I think the rental crisis here is making it especially difficult. Even people in work are finding it hard to secure affordable accommodation. I have no idea how people on the dole manage. There has always been poverty but I guess that my post-WW2 generation had an easier time than previous generations and probably easier than later generations will have. In the 1950s and 60s there was full employment, low inflation, home ownership for ordinary people was the Australian dream and not an impossible dream and there was a minimal dole payment for those who fell through the cracks. Things are definitely changing for the worse economically and the working class is getting poorer. And our virtually cashless society has made it even harder for homeless people. I'd often drop a few bucks in a tin but I never have any to drop these days. As for our upside down pear-shaped population pyramid, we can, in part, address it by accepting young immigrants. But we need to be careful if we want to maintain our society as we know it - I don't agree with opening the borders to all. And that's got nothing to do with racism. It's about maintaining the culture and ethos of our country. That can happen no matter what race or color people are, but certain cultures/religions seem more problematic than others. (I'm sure I'll get accused of discrimination for saying that. Oh, well. It's what I think.) I'm an advocate for voluntary euthanasia. I don't want to hang around if I can't look after myself. But I hope our aging population won't mean we start thinking about selectively recommending euthanasia for those who can't afford care. Where would that end? Maybe we'll need to tax the big end of town a wee bit more to ensure it doesn't happen.
Sounds logical and that's what I used to assume. Yet poverty (or low income) is not associated with homelessness, high housing prices are. Look at Detroit, it has the highest poverty rate of any large city in the US, yet on any given night has only 1500 persons experiencing homelessness. Why? Because it has an abundance (some would say, overabundance) of housing, thus has very low housing costs.
It's not about poverty, it's about restricted housing. That's why the top cities for homelessness are located in New York and California. California isn't where poverty is concentrated. Los Angeles has 1/3 the poverty rate of Detroit but has the third highest homeless rate in the US.
If you want to address homelessness allow developers and builders to do what they do, build housing.
Detroit's population has been in freefall from around 1960. It fell from 1,849,568 in 1960 to 639,111 in 2020. I think that might explain the lower house prices and the high availability of housing stock in Detroit. And it might go some way to explaining the low level of homelessness there. I agree that some streamlining of approvals may help get more houses built more quickly but you have to be careful with that as Sy Borg pointed out. You don't want substandard homes and shanty towns in high risk areas that make insurance unaffordable.
When you boil it down, I think it really is about poverty, mostly due to unemployment and poorly paid jobs. If people had well paid jobs and the money to buy houses market forces would make sure houses get built.
You are correct about the reason why Detroit has ample housing. I'm correct that ample housing drives down the cost of housing, which drives down homelessness.
If it makes you feel any better, before I knew about the data, I too "thought" poverty drove homelessness. But there's a reason Sociologists do research and don't just fly by the seat of their pants.
"In a 2022 book titled "Homelessness is a Housing Problem", Clayton Page Aldern (a policy analyst and data scientist in Seattle) and Gregg Colburn (an assistant professor of real estate at the University of Washington's College of Built Environments) studied per capita homelessness rates across the country along with what possible factors might be influencing the rates and found that high rates of homelessness are caused by shortages of affordable housing, not by mental illness, drug addiction, or poverty.[11][101][102]
They found that mental illness, drug addiction and poverty occur nationwide, but not all places have equally expensive housing costs.[101]: 1 One example cited is that two states with high rates of opioid addiction, Arkansas and West Virginia, both have low per capita rates of homelessness, because of low housing prices.[101]: 1 [102]: 1 With respect to poverty, the city of Detroit is one of the poorest cities, yet Detroit's per capita homelessness rate is 20% that of West Coast cities like Seattle, Portland, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and San Diego"
As to the motivation of developers and builders, there isn't much profit in areas with high housing prices (what we're addressing here) building shanty towns, it's in the middle third of the market. However, adding inventory in the middle third will drive down prices in that sector allowing middle income tenants to move from abnormally high priced lower third housing to middle third housing, thus freeing up lower third housing for the homeless as their prices normalize (lower).
"As usual... it depends."