Lagayscienza wrote: ↑May 25th, 2024, 11:35 pm
You may be right about the long term fate of Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan. I hope you are not. The only hope is that the strong don't always stay strong. If they did, Britain would still rule the waves and Europe would still be Roman.
But, then, it's a different world now. A war today between the three big powers, NATO, China and Russia, would be disaster for everyone. And everyone knows that if the nukes started flying all bets would be off.
The other things Israel has in its favor, apart from the backing of the West, is the fact China and Russia are, like the WEST, no friends of Islam. And if/when the world switches from oil and gas, Islamic countries in the ME would become impoverished and be distracted by the continuation of their tribal squabbling internally and among themselves.
Without the US acting as police of the world, might makes right is the only rule.
So there are these small oases of independence that exist in the face of overwhelming hostile outside forces. As a result, Ukraine is dying, Taiwan is facing increasing intimidation and Israel is now almost completely isolated, which will make them easier for the surrounding Arab nations to erase. They drove Jews from all of their countries, and all that remains is to remove this small pocket of Jews between Lebanon, Egypt, Syria, Jordan and, of course, Palestine, which is being lead by the Iran proxy, Hamas.
The world won't be moving away from oil any time soon unless we find an alternative to plastic, polyurethane and asphalt. Rather, the need for oil will increase as coal-fired power stations are shut down in the west, resulting in China having to build more coal-fired power stations and to use much more and oil to create EVs, solar panels, wind farms and other western money-making projects that fail to solve the problem of baseload power in areas without significant hydroelectric and geothermal resources.
As such, I think parts of the ME will become much more powerful. Stay tuned for Ottoman Pt 2 - an attempt to create a single dominant Islamic caliphate across the ME. Given the many historical sectarian divisions within Islam, uniting against Israel and the US is key to bringing Shiites and Sunnis together. I think this is what Iran is trying to do with their proxies in Palestine, Yemen, Syria etc, although we can expect Turkey to rise too and compete for control over what will continue to be a "gold mine" for a much longer time than the mainstream media lets on.