Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 am QED, I'd say.
You persist in not addressing my points WRT the difficulties and risks involved in plugging into magma on volatile volcanoes. You are determined to continue down the magma energy rabbit hole. Well, I am not here to stop you. All I want is clean, reliable, baseload power, the reduction in GHG emissions to save the climate, AND economic growth. That is all I care about.
I set out some back of the envelope calculations, for your edification, on what powering the world with wind would look like. It cannot work. It would take 1.5 million windmills just to supply electricity, which is 20% of all energy use. Supplying the other 80% would require an additional four times as many windmills, which gets us to 7.5 million windmills. Windmills last around 20 years, and cost about $1m per MW/Hr - these are 4MW turbines, so that's $4m times 7.5 million windmills every 20 years. $30 trillion? Just to stand still in terms of total energy availability. Only energy demand is increasing - according to the IEA, likely to grow by 50% in the next 30 years as developing countries increase energy demand.
If you still cannot see the need for magma energy, I cannot explain it to you more clearly than that.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 amWhat is clear to anyone who has cared to look honestly into this problem,
Whoa. If you think I'm factually wrong about anything please point it out, but I'm not having you say I don't care, nor that I'm dishonest. I've struggled with existential guilt since I was 20 years old. I believed the Limits to Growth narrative, and stared questions like over-population in the eye - with horrifying implications that plunged me deeper into the abyss. I've despaired. And you say I don't care, and that I'm dishonest? I'm not, and I don't think I'm wrong either. But one must always allow for the possibility, and if it turns out that I am wrong - I'll admit it, because I do care.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 am is that saving the climate AND economic growth are both possible with proven, ready-to-go technologies.
Not wind and solar, not even as part of a 'diverse energy mix' politicians are apt to appeal to without ever defining. Given the calculations above, it's clear wind and solar cannot meet current energy demand, less yet increased demand without economic and environmental ruin. So how much economic and environmental ruin are we going to have, to mitigate what percentage of carbon emissions from fossil fuels? And how severe will be the impositions on individuals and business, to reduce demand, to reduce carbon, to meet Net Zero targets?
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 amYou refuse to even consider that possibility because, as you have made clear, you don't like the look of windmills, which are already part of the landscape and energy mix, and you don't like the look of power lines. Well, boohoo!
I like how windmills look. They have a melancholy grace. As a sculpture, they're really quite beautiful. Pylons and power lines, by contrast have a utilitarian aesthetic I'm able to admire, albeit without invoking the same sense of melancholy. They're not beautiful, except in the efficiency of their design; a bit like a zippo lighter, AK47 or a jeep, there's a minimalist relation between form and function that's appealing.
It should be noted that supplying hydrogen fuel from magma energy; where base load power cannot be delivered directly, would nonetheless, be burnt in power stations fuelling existing electricity grids. I have no problem with pylons and power cables. I don't know where you get that impression, but it isn't from me.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 am That's too bad for you. Your aesthetic sentiments are irrelevant. Others love windmills and we are, all of us, long used to powerlines. The windmills are already pumping out power, hydrothermal is providing baseload power to countries on the Ring of Fire , and rooftops the world over are being covered in solar panels. And the power lines to distribute that power are already there. All that is required is greater uptake of these proven technologies, upgrading the existing grid, and more battery storage. Your aesthetic sentiments are of supreme disinterest to people concerned about the climate catastrophe that now confronts us.
You don't seem to have any appreciation of the difficulties associated with integrating wind and solar energy into existing electricity grids. I don't think I can explain it to you, because it's quite technical, I'm not an electrical engineer, and you're unwilling to learn. You could however look to the long list of people sold tesla solar roof and home battery technology - unable to get licensed as an energy producer, unable to sell their surplus back to the grid. Or you could look at what in the UK are called 'Disbursement Payments' to wind power companies, paid by tax payers in the billions of pounds every year, for energy generated from wind that can't be used - and I suspect is disbursed into the oceans, killing sea life by electrocution. This occurs for want of the storage infrastructure for wind energy, and for want of interconnectors, energy companies are discouraged from building by fossil fuel companies. How'd you like the look of those windmills now?
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 amWhat reasonable people are now concerned with is saving 100s of millions of people from displacement and death, and the economic disaster inherent in a climate meltdown that would ensue with the business-as-usual scenario that you seem to favor. Climate scientists are unanimous in telling us that we must not go down that path. I believe them. You don't. You firmly believe it is the eco-nazi-enviro-left who are lying. That being so, you are beyond help.
Are you talking to someone behind me? I'm talking about developing a source of energy that would replace fossil fuels entirely. The only 'business as usual' aspect to my proposal is the concerned with the timescale, and care with which this would need to be managed in order to get fossil fuel producing nations and energy companies on board.
My criticism of a Limits to Growth approach to climate change, you characterise correctly - only I'd have tried to work in the term genocidal. They hate people; like they watched Agent Smith tell Morpheus humans are a virus, and ran with it. Only, it's the other way around. The script of the Matrix is inspired by left wing green misanthropic views in the tradition of Malthus, Marx and Meadows.
"It came to me when I tried to classify your species and I realized that you're not actually mammals. Every mammal on this planet instinctively develops a natural equilibrium with the surrounding environment but you humans do not. You move to an area and you multiply and multiply until every natural resource is consumed and the only way you can survive is to spread to another area. There is another organism on this planet that follows the same pattern. Do you know what it is? A virus. Human beings are a disease, a cancer of this planet. You're a plague and we are the cure."
It's so wrong in every regard, it's funny. I'll have to do a thread on how wrong this is. But mainly, it's that animals breed recklessly, exhaust resources and die out. There is no equilibrium. There's some sort of precarious balance across the entire evolutionary web of life - easily and often thrown out of whack, but that's a different matter. Only humans are capable of foreseeing the danger and adjusting our behaviours accordingly. In theory!
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 amWhat is indisputable is that we are nudging 2 degrees C of warming already. The small, outdated magma study that has won your heart never promised anything. And not a watt of electricity has been generated from magma. Even if drilling millions of holes in the sides of dangerous volcanoes on the Ring of Fire were geophysically practicable, which it clearly is not, the study did not show that it would provide an economically feasible source of baseload power to even a village, let alone for the entire world.That's indisputable is it? Wrongness often is. One can dispute it but those who are wrong won't listen. That's why they're wrong. Because they won't listen. Net Zero goals by 2050 are aimed at keeping warming to 1.5'C above pre-industrial global average temperatures. We are not nudging 2'C already.
I think drilling into hot rock surrounding magma chambers beneath volcanoes is feasible; and that's exactly why it hasn't been developed. Because likely, it would work, and could displace fossil fuels entirely.
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 amAgain, if it were feasible, our capitalist friends in the energy industry would be pursuing it already, and governments would subsidizing it so they could tax it and be able to say that they saved the climate. Well, none of them are doing any of this. And that is because it is pie-in-the-sky.
I love pie. Did you know Rolls Royce recently powered a jet engine with hydrogen. Imagine that, pie in the sky, carbon free! I'd fly round the world forever!
Lagayscienza wrote: ↑February 9th, 2024, 11:10 amMagma energy is not going to save us environmentally or economically. When you first brought is up here I thought, mmm, maybe. Having looked into it, I conclude that it is, at best, woolly thinking. You do not want to accept this. That is a problem that only you can deal with.One can but try, so why didn't they even attempt to develop magma energy? And why didn't the environmental left advocate for magma energy? Were they as acutely aware as you seem to be, of the geological and electrical engineering problems associated with such a venture? Because surely, the environmental left wouldn't have cared about economic feasibility. Why would they?