Sculptor1 wrote: ↑August 8th, 2022, 2:22 pm
Have you ever expected the fridge to make your food cold?
Have you ever expected your car to start in the morning, or conversely expected it to start when you have not put petrol in it??
Pattern-chaser wrote: ↑August 9th, 2022, 5:22 am
Do you acknowledge the difference between what is expected and what is possible?
Sculptor1 wrote: ↑August 9th, 2022, 6:03 am
Your problem is that you seem not to be able to conceive of the impossible.
The case of the spontaneous generation of petunias is in that category.
In this context, "impossible" and "certain" are the same thing, but opposite. One asserts that an event cannot and will never occur, the other asserts that an event must and will always occur. In my view, both are pretty rare. Not unknown, but pretty rare.
Things get more difficult when we consider events that we consider to be
very unlikely. The temptation is always there to label them "impossible" instead of "very unlikely", because that enables us to dismiss them, and have one thing less to worry about.
But to say that something is impossible, or certain, seems,
logically, to demand
conclusive evidence. In the absence of such evidence, it is difficult to see how any such event can/could
logically be deemed "impossible" or "certain". If there should exist clear contradictory evidence, then perhaps such a verdict can be justified, but in the absence of such evidence — maybe in the absence of any/all evidence — no valid conclusion can be logically reached.
As for the specific example of the bowl of petunias, it is my understanding that quantum theory — science's most successful theory ever — allows for its emergence, even though the same theory seems to indicate that such an event would be very unlikely. If I am incorrectly reporting my own misunderstanding of QM, fair enough. But I believe that what I'm saying here is in accord with QM. That is to say, if our best current understanding of the spacetime universe is valid — a very big "if", I admit — then a bowl of petunias could possibly emerge in your living room, or in Earth's upper atmosphere.